2010 battery industry forecasts and trend analysis of factors affecting
2010 policy to stimulate the economy and economic revitalization programs together, domestic demand will further turn for the better battery, at perhaps the world's economic recovery also led to foreign demand for batteries continues to rise, in 2010 China's battery industry will overcome the difficulties appear good growth .
1,2010 battery domestic market demand will rise slightly
Batteries are widely used in automobiles, motorcycles, electric bicycles, ships, trucks, rail vehicles, UPS uninterruptible power supply, lamp, medical equipment, electric toys, remote control, computer, cell phone, camera, MP3, radio, emergency lights, alarm devices, lights and other electrical appliances in. In the fuel tax reform, lower oil prices, cars to the countryside and other planning for the revitalization of the auto consumption policy, driven by China's automobile industry will continue to grow. According to the Automobile Association predicts that by 2010 China's auto output will reach 15 million, growth rate of around 10% this year, automotive battery market will rise, while other applications will not be lower than 2009 levels, we estimate that 2010 battery demand in the domestic market rose slightly.
2,2010 international market will rebound in demand for batteries is estimated to reach the basic level of exports in 2008, the export situation of China's battery will be improved.
Second half of 2009 the international battery market has been gradually recovering, and 2010 world economic recovery will further rise, the international demand for batteries will gradually enlarge the estimate of China's exports of up to 2008 levels.
3, the positive impact of the battery industry factors
(1) battery industry included in the "light industry restructuring and revitalization plan"
"Planning" on the battery industry, industrial restructuring and the focus given to the development, proposed the establishment of public innovation service platform, the establishment of National Engineering Research Center for the battery, the battery industry to promote mercury-focus button alkaline manganese battery technology, an ordinary zinc-manganese battery-free mercury, lead free, cadmium, lithium-ion batteries replaced nickel-cadmium batteries, button alkaline manganese batteries containing mercury out of 9 billion backward production capacity and other measures.
2010 policy to stimulate the economy and economic revitalization programs together, domestic demand will further turn for the better battery, at perhaps the world's economic recovery also led to foreign demand for batteries continues to rise, in 2010 China's battery industry will overcome the difficulties appear good growth .
1,2010 battery domestic market demand will rise slightly
Batteries are widely used in automobiles, motorcycles, electric bicycles, ships, trucks, rail vehicles, UPS uninterruptible power supply, lamp, medical equipment, electric toys, remote control, computer, cell phone, camera, MP3, radio, emergency lights, alarm devices, lights and other electrical appliances in. In the fuel tax reform, lower oil prices, cars to the countryside and other planning for the revitalization of the auto consumption policy, driven by China's automobile industry will continue to grow. According to the Automobile Association predicts that by 2010 China's auto output will reach 15 million, growth rate of around 10% this year, automotive battery market will rise, while other applications will not be lower than 2009 levels, we estimate that 2010 battery demand in the domestic market rose slightly.
2,2010 international market will rebound in demand for batteries is estimated to reach the basic level of exports in 2008, the export situation of China's battery will be improved.
Second half of 2009 the international battery market has been gradually recovering, and 2010 world economic recovery will further rise, the international demand for batteries will gradually enlarge the estimate of China's exports of up to 2008 levels.
3, the positive impact of the battery industry factors
(1) battery industry included in the "light industry restructuring and revitalization plan"
"Planning" on the battery industry, industrial restructuring and the focus given to the development, proposed the establishment of public innovation service platform, the establishment of National Engineering Research Center for the battery, the battery industry to promote mercury-focus button alkaline manganese battery technology, an ordinary zinc-manganese battery-free mercury, lead free, cadmium, lithium-ion batteries replaced nickel-cadmium batteries, button alkaline manganese batteries containing mercury out of 9 billion backward production capacity and other measures.
(2) the rise of trade protection, trade barriers to increase the export costs
United States and Europe the rise of domestic trade protection, trade barriers increased. EU "Chemical Bill", "Recycling batteries directive" and other environmental regulations are the trend of globalization, according to the EU's "Official Gazette" recently issued directive on batteries and accumulators for the battery in the lead, cadmium, mercury proposed more stringent targets requirements, and involve exorbitant cost recovery. REACH Regulation and RoSH instructions to improve battery registration fees and testing fees, substantially increased the cost of battery production and export cost of sales.
(3) lack of core technology, lack of industry standards
Due to lack of core technology, the scale of production of photovoltaic cells Although China ranks third in the world, still get out of the "two out" to earn a little money to the old model, and trigger a series of environmental pollution problems.
China's battery industry, especially mobile phone battery, there is no uniform standard, there are many security risks, following the mandatory standard mobile phone charger, the Ministry is developing a unified standard mobile phone batteries. As the cell phone battery is a source of profitable firms, uniform standards will be cut this part of the profits will lead to decline in the profitability of the battery industry, some companies are experiencing business difficulties, or even a loss.
(4) appreciation of the renminbi on the battery industry
RMB exchange rate from 2005 1:8.3, about 1:6.8 to adjust the current. 70% of China's battery production for export, the export price of RMB appreciation and the battery difficult to raise the cost of exports is significantly increased battery to enable enterprises to economic decline.
(5) Environmental management of investment continues to improve
Today in the promotion of green GDP, battery and environmental issues of wide public attention by the government. Enterprises to increase investment in environmental protection, increased operating costs.
In 2009 China's battery industry, although there is also the export downturn, inefficient, however, is to stimulate domestic economic policy and the role of economic revitalization program, the industry has bottomed out. With the overall improvement in the domestic economy and foreign economy stabilized in 2010, China's battery industry will enter a recovery. Crisis is a challenge but also opportunity, as "light industry restructuring and revitalization plan," the implementation of battery companies can seize the opportunity to adjust the product structure, strengthen technical, process and equipment innovation and accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity, quickly transform to a diversified direction; to produce efficient, environmentally friendly, energy-efficient transformation of the field battery, the battery industry to promote sustainable development.
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